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Update November 20, 2013:  With 100% of precincts counted but over 34,000 mail-in ballots remaining to be counted, the tally stands at Faulconer 43.58%, Alvarez 25.59%, Fletcher 24.3%, Aguirre 4.44%. Of seven lesser known candidates in the race, none attained more than a half percent. A run-off election will be held early next year between the top two.

By Miriam Raftery

November 19, 2013 (San Diego) – The San Diego Mayoral race appears destined for a run-off election, since no candidate has captured more than 50% of the votes needed to win outright. 

With 86.9% of precincts counted, Kevin Faulconer, the only Republican in the race, leads with 43.84%. 

Of three prominent Democrats in the race, former Assemblyman Nathan Fletcher had the early lead, up by 2% for most of the evening thanks to absentee ballots. But late tonight, as working class districts polling results came in, Councilman David Alvarez, the Democratic Party's endorsed candidate, has movedahead slightly of Fletcher slightly with 25.19% of the vote to Fletcher's 24.39%.

Former City Attorney Michael Aguirre, the third Democratic contender, has 4.46% of the vote currently.

The candidates are vying to fill the seat vacated by Bob Filner's resignation, replacing Interim Mayor Todd Gloria.

While Faulconer clearly benefitted in the primary from a three-way split among likely Democratic voters, he faces a rockier road in the general election, with the reality that a strong majority of voters cast their ballots for Democratic candidates.

Should either Faulconer or Alvarez wih the mayoral election, a replacement will be appointed to fill the council vacancy.  But the appointment won't be a steppingstone to a long tenure, since any appointee will be banned by the city charter from running for reelection when the term is up.

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